Surinam 1-1 Guatemala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.98
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+5.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Surinam EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Guatemala EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -60%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
Crosses 4.0
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Surinam
1-1
AWAY Guatemala
0.47 xG 0.31
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
425 Passes 209
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Surinam vs Guatemala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Surinam and Guatemala couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Surinam at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Surinam had 64% of the ball to Guatemala's 36%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.47 to 0.31.

What was the final score of Surinam vs Guatemala?

Surinam 1-1 Guatemala in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Surinam vs Guatemala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Surinam win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Surinam 45%, draw 26%, Guatemala 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Surinam), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Surinam) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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