Letonya 2-2 Andorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
14%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.44
Over 2.5
45%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.67
No
53%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
14%
Away Win
16%
-2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
66%
-10.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
34%
+10.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
33%
+13.7pp
53%
BTTS No
67%
-13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Letonya EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Andorra EU Bookmakers 19%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.25/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.04/2.39
-84% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -95% / -35%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Letonya
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Andorra
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.70 xG 0.46
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
299 Passes 147
73% Pass Accuracy 58%
20 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.03.2025 Andorra Andorra 0-1 HT 0-0 Letonya Letonya DKE
25.09.2022 Andorra Andorra 1-1 HT 0-0 Letonya Letonya AVUL
03.06.2022 Letonya Letonya 3-0 HT 1-0 Andorra Andorra AVUL
17.11.2020 Andorra Andorra 0-5 HT 0-1 Letonya Letonya AVUL
03.09.2020 Letonya Letonya 0-0 HT 0-0 Andorra Andorra AVUL
19.11.2018 Andorra Andorra 0-0 HT 0-0 Letonya Letonya AVUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Letonya
2-2
AWAY Andorra
1.21 xG 0.54
70% Ball Possession 30%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
517 Passes 178
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Letonya vs Andorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Letonya and Andorra shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Letonya at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Letonya had 70% of the ball to Andorra's 30%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.21 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Letonya had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Letonya and 0.17 for Andorra.

What was the final score of Letonya vs Andorra?

Letonya 2-2 Andorra in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Letonya vs Andorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Letonya win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Letonya 58%, draw 28%, Andorra 14%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Letonya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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