Andorra 0-1 Letonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2025

Andorra
0-1 HT 0-0
Letonya
📅21/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Andorra vs Letonya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
3.87
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
54%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.33
Over 2.5
37%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.74
2-3 Goals
46%
1.89
4-5 Goals
13%
7.89
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
18.35
X/1
4%
7.76
X/2
16%
4.03
X/X
22%
3.11
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2 EV+ ✗
33%
2.9
2/X
4%
16.9
Value flag · 2/2 at 2.9 — our 33% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
22%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.6pp
54%
Away Win
46%
+7.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
72%
-8.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
28%
+8.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Andorra v Letonya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Andorra EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Letonya EU Bookmakers 50%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
0.67/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
-26% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -76%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
3.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10.0 Crosses –
6.0 Yellow Cards –

Andorra vs Letonya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Andorra
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Letonya
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.44 xG 1.71
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
128 Passes 291
55% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.09.2022 Andorra Andorra 1-1 HT 0-0 Letonya Letonya AVUL
03.06.2022 Letonya Letonya 3-0 HT 1-0 Andorra Andorra AVUL
17.11.2020 Andorra Andorra 0-5 HT 0-1 Letonya Letonya AVUL
03.09.2020 Letonya Letonya 0-0 HT 0-0 Andorra Andorra AVUL
19.11.2018 Andorra Andorra 0-0 HT 0-0 Letonya Letonya AVUL
06.09.2018 Letonya Letonya 0-0 HT 0-0 Andorra Andorra AVUL

Andorra 0-1 Letonya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Andorra
0-1
AWAY Letonya
0.27 xG 0.42
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
188 Passes 433
63% Pass Accuracy 79%
7 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Andorra vs Letonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Letonya nicked a narrow win over Andorra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Letonya as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Andorra had 37% of the ball to Letonya's 63%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 0.27 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Letonya led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Andorra and 1.50 for Letonya.

What was the final score of Andorra vs Letonya?

Andorra 0-1 Letonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Andorra vs Letonya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Letonya win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Andorra 16%, draw 30%, Letonya 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Letonya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Letonya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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