Paraguay 1-0 Şili — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2025

Paraguay
1-0 HT 0-0
Şili
📅21/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Paraguay vs Şili Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.19
No
65%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
14%
5.33
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.62
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.75
X/1
14%
4.17
X/2
14%
8.33
X/X
14%
3.67
2/1
4%
32.0
2/2
6%
7.51
2/X
4%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.0pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paraguay v Şili — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paraguay EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Şili EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.05/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.26
+0% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
30.5 Crosses 16.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Paraguay vs Şili Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paraguay
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Şili
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.89 xG 1.02
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
234 Passes 472
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.06.2024 Şili Şili 3-0 HT 2-0 Paraguay Paraguay HAZ
17.11.2023 Şili Şili 0-0 HT 0-0 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
28.03.2023 Şili Şili 3-2 HT 1-2 Paraguay Paraguay HAZ
12.11.2021 Paraguay Paraguay 0-1 HT 0-0 Şili Şili DKE
11.10.2021 Şili Şili 2-0 HT 0-0 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
25.06.2021 Şili Şili 0-2 HT 0-1 Paraguay Paraguay AKU

Paraguay 1-0 Şili — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paraguay
1-0
AWAY Şili
0.76 xG 0.79
36% Ball Possession 64%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
204 Passes 426
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Paraguay vs Şili
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paraguay edged past Şili 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paraguay as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Paraguay had 36% of the ball to Şili's 64%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 0.76 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Şili led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Paraguay and 1.50 for Şili.

What was the final score of Paraguay vs Şili?

Paraguay 1-0 Şili in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paraguay vs Şili?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paraguay win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Paraguay 48%, draw 27%, Şili 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paraguay), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paraguay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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