Peru 3-1 Bolivya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2025

Peru
3-1 HT 2-0
Bolivya
📅21/03/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Peru vs Bolivya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.56
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.88
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.65
X/1
14%
3.62
X/2
6%
13.0
X/X
11%
4.6
2/1
12%
29.5
2/2
6%
12.65
2/X
10%
21.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peru v Bolivya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peru EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivya EU Bookmakers 17%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.25/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/2.51
+20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -58%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.9
19.4 Crosses 10.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0

Peru vs Bolivya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peru
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Bolivya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.34 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
332 Passes 260
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.11.2023 Bolivya Bolivya 2-0 HT 1-0 Peru Peru DKE
20.11.2022 Peru Peru 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolivya Bolivya HAZ
12.11.2021 Peru Peru 3-0 HT 3-0 Bolivya Bolivya DKE
10.10.2021 Bolivya Bolivya 1-0 HT 0-0 Peru Peru DKE
19.06.2019 Bolivya Bolivya 1-3 HT 1-1 Peru Peru AKU
01.09.2017 Peru Peru 2-1 HT 0-0 Bolivya Bolivya DKE

Peru 3-1 Bolivya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peru
3-1
AWAY Bolivya
1.55 xG 1.31
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
332 Passes 337
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 6
9 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Peru vs Bolivya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peru beat Bolivya 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Peru as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Peru had 51% of the ball to Bolivya's 49%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.55 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peru had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Peru and 0.83 for Bolivya.

What was the final score of Peru vs Bolivya?

Peru 3-1 Bolivya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peru vs Bolivya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peru win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Peru 57%, draw 26%, Bolivya 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peru) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Peru) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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