D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 1-0 Güney Sudan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.18
Draw
33%
5.71
Away
33%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
3.59
No
50%
1.24
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
80%
-46.7pp
33%
Draw
14%
+18.9pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+27.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
24%
+26.4pp
50%
BTTS No
76%
-26.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Sudan EU Bookmakers 8%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
3.22/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.23
+20% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Güney Sudan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti squeezed past Güney Sudan 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Güney Sudan?

D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 1-0 Güney Sudan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti vs Güney Sudan?

Before kick-off our model rated a D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 33%, draw 33%, Güney Sudan 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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