21/03/2025
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Komorlar vs Mali Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
16%
28%
Draw
28%
45%
Away Win
56%
59%
Under 2.5
64%
41%
Over 2.5
36%
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
54%
BTTS No
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Komorlar v Mali — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Komorlar
EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mali
EU Bookmakers 60%
+50% /
+50%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+4%
0.98/0.02
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.90/0.01
+34%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-38%
/
+150%
42%
Ball Possession
58%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
6
223 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
362 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.6
Komorlar 0-3 Mali — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Komorlar
0-3
AWAY
Mali
0
Corners
0
0
Passes
3
POST-MATCH
Komorlar vs Mali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mali ran out comfortable winners over Komorlar 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mali as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Komorlar vs Mali?
Komorlar 0-3 Mali in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Komorlar vs Mali?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mali win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Komorlar 27%, draw 28%, Mali 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mali), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Mali)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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DKE
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21 Mar 2025