Ekvator Ginesi 2-0 Sao Tome ve Principe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.18
Draw
33%
5.28
Away
33%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
3.34
No
50%
1.28
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
79%
-46.1pp
33%
Draw
15%
+18.0pp
33%
Away Win
5%
+28.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
26%
+24.1pp
50%
BTTS No
74%
-24.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekvator Ginesi EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Tome ve Principe EU Bookmakers 8%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/3.45
-63% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Ekvator Ginesi vs Sao Tome ve Principe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekvator Ginesi beat Sao Tome ve Principe 2-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Ekvator Ginesi found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Ekvator Ginesi vs Sao Tome ve Principe?

Ekvator Ginesi 2-0 Sao Tome ve Principe in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekvator Ginesi vs Sao Tome ve Principe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ekvator Ginesi win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Ekvator Ginesi 33%, draw 33%, Sao Tome ve Principe 33%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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