Curaçao 2-0 Jamaika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.28
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
4.77
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
24%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.7pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.3pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curaçao EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamaika EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
Crosses 7.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curaçao
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Jamaika
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.69 xG 2.54
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
411 Passes 290
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.06.2019 Jamaika Jamaika 1-1 HT 1-0 Curaçao Curaçao GK
10.07.2017 Curaçao Curaçao 0-2 HT 0-0 Jamaika Jamaika GK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curaçao
2-0
AWAY Jamaika
0.34 xG 1.30
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 4
242 Passes 342
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 32
5 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Curaçao vs Jamaika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curaçao beat Jamaika 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 34% / 40% — and on the day Curaçao made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Curaçao had 42% of the ball to Jamaika's 58%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.34 to 1.30 — the balance of chances actually favoured Jamaika.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jamaika led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Curaçao and 1.50 for Jamaika.

What was the final score of Curaçao vs Jamaika?

Curaçao 2-0 Jamaika in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curaçao vs Jamaika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jamaika win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Curaçao 26%, draw 34%, Jamaika 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jamaika) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jamaika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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