Cambuur 2-0 De Graafschap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.25
2-3 Goals
36%
2.09
4-5 Goals
26%
2.41
6+ Goals
15%
4.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.65
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
5%
12.45
X/1
12%
5.39
X/2
9%
7.56
X/X
9%
6.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.55
2/2
23%
4.45
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.55 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+7.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-7.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.0pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.24/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.32
-35% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
20.8 Crosses 19.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
4W-1D-1L
AWAY De Graafschap
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.35 xG 0.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 Passes 262
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Cambuur Cambuur 3-2 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
13.12.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 0-2 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
08.03.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
08.12.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-3 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
30.04.2021 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 0-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
19.11.2020 De Graafschap De Graafschap 0-2 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
2-0
AWAY De Graafschap
1.87 xG 0.82
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
561 Passes 178
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
39 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs De Graafschap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur saw off De Graafschap 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Cambuur made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cambuur had 71% of the ball to De Graafschap's 29%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.87 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cambuur and 1.17 for De Graafschap.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs De Graafschap?

Cambuur 2-0 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs De Graafschap?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 41%, draw 22%, De Graafschap 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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