Cambuur 3-2 De Graafschap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.02
1/2
10%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
17%
4.36
X/2
6%
10.6
X/X
10%
6.34
2/1
7%
20.2
2/2
13%
7.83
2/X
6%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 23%
-15% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.88/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.40
+1% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
22.0 Crosses 19.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY De Graafschap
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.15 xG 1.10
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 Passes 247
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 0-2 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
08.03.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
08.12.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-3 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
30.04.2021 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 0-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
19.11.2020 De Graafschap De Graafschap 0-2 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
09.08.2019 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
3-2
AWAY De Graafschap
1.71 xG 0.77
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 0
466 Passes 269
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs De Graafschap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur nicked a narrow win over De Graafschap 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cambuur as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cambuur had 61% of the ball to De Graafschap's 39%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.71 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cambuur and 1.17 for De Graafschap.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs De Graafschap?

Cambuur 3-2 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs De Graafschap?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 49%, draw 22%, De Graafschap 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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