Excelsior 3-0 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.57
2-3 Goals
38%
2.15
4-5 Goals
25%
2.4
6+ Goals
15%
4.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.35
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
25.5
X/1
14%
3.93
X/2
4%
25.5
X/X
9%
11.0
2/1
13%
20.35
2/2
6%
20.65
2/X
5%
29.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
77%
-11.8pp
21%
Draw
14%
+6.8pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 12%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.92/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.78
-4% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
401 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
25.1 Crosses 11.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Utrecht II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.80 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
378 Passes 291
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
21.02.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
26.11.2021 Excelsior Excelsior 2-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
12.03.2021 Excelsior Excelsior 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
11.12.2020 Utrecht II Utrecht II 3-2 HT 2-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
10.08.2019 Excelsior Excelsior 2-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior
3-0
AWAY Utrecht II
2.97 xG 0.33
69% Ball Possession 31%
28 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
559 Passes 228
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
53 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Excelsior vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior swept aside Utrecht II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Excelsior had 69% of the ball to Utrecht II's 31%, shots finished 28-5, expected goals 2.97 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Excelsior and 0.67 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of Excelsior vs Utrecht II?

Excelsior 3-0 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 65%, draw 21%, Utrecht II 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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