FC Eindhoven 2-2 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.19
6+ Goals
13%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.44
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
15%
5.55
X/2
13%
6.23
X/X
16%
4.89
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2
15%
4.12
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
1.51/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.46
-8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.5 Crosses 17.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
312 Passes 316
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-4 HT 0-2 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
03.05.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
20.10.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-2 HT 1-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
12.05.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-1 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
19.08.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
04.03.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
2-2
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.47 xG 1.28
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
374 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven and Helmond Sport shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 54% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 46%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.47 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Eindhoven and 1.50 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs Helmond Sport?

FC Eindhoven 2-2 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 37%, draw 30%, Helmond Sport 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Eindhoven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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