Institute FC 1-0 Queens University — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.91
Over 2.5
59%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+3.7pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.0pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.9pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens University EU Bookmakers 36%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.18/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/0.80
-35% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / +121%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Queens University
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.03.2022 Institute FC Institute FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Queens University Queens University KİRL1
27.12.2021 Queens University Queens University 0-1 HT 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Queens University
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC edged past Queens University 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Institute FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Institute FC and 0.50 for Queens University.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Queens University?

Institute FC 1-0 Queens University in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Queens University?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 45%, draw 21%, Queens University 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Institute FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Institute FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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