Ballinamallard United 3-1 Armagh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+7.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-7.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Armagh City EU Bookmakers 42%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.21/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.76
-26% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +96%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Armagh City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
26.04.2025 Armagh City Armagh City 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
22.03.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-0 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
02.11.2024 Armagh City Armagh City 3-2 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
28.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-3 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United saw off Armagh City 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ballinamallard United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.50 for Armagh City.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City?

Ballinamallard United 3-1 Armagh City in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 44%, draw 26%, Armagh City 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballinamallard United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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