Loughgall FC 1-1 Warrenpoint Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2025

Loughgall FC
1-1 HT 0-1
Warrenpoint Town
📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Loughgall FC vs Warrenpoint Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.94
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 31% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.9pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Loughgall FC v Warrenpoint Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrenpoint Town EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.05/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.55
+2% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Loughgall FC vs Warrenpoint Town Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Warrenpoint Town
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
22.04.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
14.02.2023 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
13.08.2022 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
13.10.2021 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KILK
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Warrenpoint Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC and Warrenpoint Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Loughgall FC carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Loughgall FC and 1.00 for Warrenpoint Town.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Warrenpoint Town?

Loughgall FC 1-1 Warrenpoint Town in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Warrenpoint Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 55%, draw 21%, Warrenpoint Town 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Loughgall FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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