Ards FC 1-4 Limavady United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.25
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
50%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
3.32
6+ Goals
7%
12.5
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.75 — our 50% vs market 48.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Limavady United EU Bookmakers 40%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.34/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.17
-18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Limavady United
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
12.04.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
15.02.2025 Limavady United Limavady United 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
22.11.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 2-0 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
10.08.2024 Limavady United Limavady United 0-3 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Limavady United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Limavady United cruised past Ards FC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ards FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ards FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Ards FC and 0.25 for Limavady United.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Limavady United?

Ards FC 1-4 Limavady United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Limavady United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 42%, draw 24%, Limavady United 33%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ards FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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