Deportivo Saprissa 3-3 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 11 Nov 2024

📅11/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
71%
-6.8pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.8pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
2.50/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.21
+20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
393 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
05.09.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTK
13.05.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 HT 2-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
11.03.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
27.11.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
20.09.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
3-3
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa and Santos de Guapiles couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Deportivo Saprissa carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 66% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 34%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 0.83 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Santos de Guapiles?

Deportivo Saprissa 3-3 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 65%, draw 21%, Santos de Guapiles 15%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
11 Nov 2024
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