Santos de Guapiles 1-2 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
20%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
49%
Away Win
56%
-6.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 59%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.09/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.99
-6% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +11%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.09.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTK
13.05.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 HT 2-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
11.03.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
27.11.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
20.09.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
30.03.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa nicked a narrow win over Santos de Guapiles 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 2.00 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Santos de Guapiles 1-2 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 24%, draw 27%, Deportivo Saprissa 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5
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15 Sep 2024
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