Municipal Liberia 0-1 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.7pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.4pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 21%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +17%
2.18/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.48
+10% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Guanacasteca
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-0 HT 1-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
22.02.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
23.11.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 4-2 HT 2-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
16.09.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
14.03.2021 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSB
30.01.2021 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
0-1
AWAY Guanacasteca
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca edged past Municipal Liberia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Municipal Liberia at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 60% of the ball to Guanacasteca's 40%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.00 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Guanacasteca?

Municipal Liberia 0-1 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 50%, draw 29%, Guanacasteca 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Municipal Liberia), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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