Monterrey vs Leon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterrey v Leon — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Leon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Leon
MEK
1-1
HT 1-0
Monterrey
MEK
5-1
HT 3-0
Leon
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Monterrey
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Leon
MEK
Monterrey 2-1 Leon — Actual Match Statistics
Monterrey edged past Leon 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Monterrey had 56% of the ball to Leon's 44%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 2.35 to 1.55.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monterrey and 1.00 for Leon.
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Leon?
Monterrey 2-1 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Leon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 49%, draw 27%, Leon 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.