Necaxa 0-0 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 11 Nov 2024

Necaxa
0-0 HT 0-0
Atlas
📅11/11/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Necaxa vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
3.05
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 37% vs market 27.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Necaxa v Atlas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Necaxa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
1.19/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.29
-2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.3 Crosses 17.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Necaxa vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Necaxa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atlas
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.82 xG 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.01.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 2-1 HT 0-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
11.11.2023 Atlas Atlas 0-0 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
22.04.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 1-3 HT 0-3 Atlas Atlas MEK
02.10.2022 Atlas Atlas 1-0 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
08.04.2022 Atlas Atlas 2-1 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
18.09.2021 Necaxa Necaxa 0-3 HT 0-2 Atlas Atlas MEK

Necaxa 0-0 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Necaxa
0-0
AWAY Atlas
1.08 xG 1.05
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
234 Passes 379
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Necaxa vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Necaxa and Atlas fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (34% / 35% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Necaxa had 41% of the ball to Atlas's 59%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.08 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlas led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Necaxa and 1.67 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Necaxa vs Atlas?

Necaxa 0-0 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 34%, draw 35%, Atlas 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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