Nacional Asuncion 2-2 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 11 Nov 2024

📅11/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+7.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.0pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.12/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.89
-3% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.08.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-1 HT 2-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
06.06.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
31.03.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
27.11.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
11.09.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
29.05.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
2-2
AWAY Cerro Porteno
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion and Cerro Porteno shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 58% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 42%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 1.33 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?

Nacional Asuncion 2-2 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 36%, draw 28%, Cerro Porteno 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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