Lille U19 1-1 Sturm Graz U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 11 Dec 2024

Lille U19
1-1 HT 1-0
Sturm Graz U19
📅11/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2024/2025

Lille U19 vs Sturm Graz U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.3pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lille U19 v Sturm Graz U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lille U19 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz U19 EU Bookmakers 37%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
+18% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +147% / +68%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Lille U19 vs Sturm Graz U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille U19 and Sturm Graz U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Lille U19 vs Sturm Graz U19?

Lille U19 1-1 Sturm Graz U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lille U19 vs Sturm Graz U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lille U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lille U19 39%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz U19 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lille U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lille U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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