Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 4-1 FCV Farul U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.62
6+ Goals
11%
6.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.35
X/1
14%
4.12
X/2
7%
10.3
X/X
13%
6.58
2/1
9%
20.05
2/2 EV+ ✗
17%
7.08
2/X
5%
15.65
Value flag · 2/2 at 7.08 — our 17% vs market 10.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY FCV Farul U19 EU Bookmakers 24%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +86%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FCV Farul U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
27.11.2024 FCV Farul U19 0-2 HT 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb U19
4-1
AWAY FCV Farul U19
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 vs FCV Farul U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 ran out comfortable winners over FCV Farul U19 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 had 51% of the ball to FCV Farul U19's 49%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 vs FCV Farul U19?

Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 4-1 FCV Farul U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 vs FCV Farul U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 47%, draw 23%, FCV Farul U19 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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