Milan U19 1-3 Crvena Zvezda U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 11 Dec 2024

Milan U19
1-3 HT 0-1
Crvena Zvezda U19
📅11/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2024/2025

Milan U19 vs Crvena Zvezda U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.58
2-3 Goals
36%
1.99
4-5 Goals
31%
2.48
6+ Goals
12%
5.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-10.4pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.5pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Milan U19 v Crvena Zvezda U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan U19 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Crvena Zvezda U19 EU Bookmakers 15%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.93
+60% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
– Crosses 7.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

Milan U19 1-3 Crvena Zvezda U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan U19
1-3
AWAY Crvena Zvezda U19
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 13
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Milan U19 vs Crvena Zvezda U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crvena Zvezda U19 got the better of Milan U19 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Milan U19 carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Milan U19 had 48% of the ball to Crvena Zvezda U19's 52%, shots finished 13-21.

What was the final score of Milan U19 vs Crvena Zvezda U19?

Milan U19 1-3 Crvena Zvezda U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan U19 vs Crvena Zvezda U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Milan U19 60%, draw 20%, Crvena Zvezda U19 20%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Milan U19), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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