Olympiakos U19 4-1 Trencin U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 11 Dec 2024

📅11/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.33
Over 2.5
67%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.66
No
35%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
4.59
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
36%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
7.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.67 — our 36% vs market 30.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.9
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.7
X/1
19%
3.89
X/2
13%
11.55
X/X
4%
6.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
20.15
2/2
7%
8.22
2/X
7%
17.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.15 — our 13% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.1pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
33%
Under 2.5
39%
-5.6pp
67%
Over 2.5
61%
+5.6pp
65%
BTTS Yes
56%
+8.4pp
35%
BTTS No
44%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos U19 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Trencin U19 EU Bookmakers 21%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-4% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos U19
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Trencin U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.11.2024 Trencin U19 Trencin U19 1-1 HT 1-0 Olympiakos U19 Olympiakos U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos U19
4-1
AWAY Trencin U19
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olympiakos U19 vs Trencin U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos U19 ran out comfortable winners over Trencin U19 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olympiakos U19 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Olympiakos U19 had 58% of the ball to Trencin U19's 42%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Olympiakos U19 vs Trencin U19?

Olympiakos U19 4-1 Trencin U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 11/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos U19 vs Trencin U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos U19 57%, draw 19%, Trencin U19 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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