La Union Atletico 2-1 Villanovense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
30%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Villanovense EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.16/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.27
-18% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Union Atletico
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Villanovense
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
01.09.2024 Villanovense Villanovense 0-3 HT 0-2 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Union Atletico
2-1
AWAY Villanovense
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH La Union Atletico vs Villanovense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico edged past Villanovense 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had La Union Atletico as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Union Atletico had 64% of the ball to Villanovense's 36%, shots finished 10-2.

What was the final score of La Union Atletico vs Villanovense?

La Union Atletico 2-1 Villanovense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Union Atletico vs Villanovense?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Union Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split La Union Atletico 51%, draw 27%, Villanovense 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Union Atletico) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (La Union Atletico) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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