Mostoles 1-2 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostoles EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 54%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.96/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.49
+0% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +83%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
242 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mostoles
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cacereno
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Cacereno Cacereno 3-0 HT 0-0 Mostoles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostoles
1-2
AWAY Cacereno
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mostoles vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno nicked a narrow win over Mostoles 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cacereno as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mostoles had 45% of the ball to Cacereno's 55%, shots finished 18-14.

What was the final score of Mostoles vs Cacereno?

Mostoles 1-2 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostoles vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mostoles 27%, draw 27%, Cacereno 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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