Navalcarnero 3-0 Union Adarve — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.56
Over 2.5
36%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.7pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.29/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.09
+0% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Navalcarnero
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Union Adarve
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Union Adarve Union Adarve 1-2 HT 1-1 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
07.04.2024 Union Adarve Union Adarve 1-1 HT 0-1 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
26.11.2023 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
26.02.2023 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
09.10.2022 Union Adarve Union Adarve 0-3 HT 0-1 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
13.02.2022 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 1-1 HT 0-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Navalcarnero
3-0
AWAY Union Adarve
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Navalcarnero vs Union Adarve
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero ran out comfortable winners over Union Adarve 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Navalcarnero as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Navalcarnero had 52% of the ball to Union Adarve's 48%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Navalcarnero had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Navalcarnero and 0.83 for Union Adarve.

What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs Union Adarve?

Navalcarnero 3-0 Union Adarve in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs Union Adarve?

Before kick-off our model rated a Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 41%, draw 30%, Union Adarve 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Navalcarnero), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Navalcarnero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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