AC Milan (K) 6-0 Napoli (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.28
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.4
No
45%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
30%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-13.1pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.6pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+5.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
38%
+17.0pp
46%
BTTS No
62%
-17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.27/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.93
-30% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
22.6 Crosses 7.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Milan (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Napoli (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 0.56
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
352 Passes 169
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
30 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
12.05.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
14.04.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 3-2 HT 1-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Milan (K)
6-0
AWAY Napoli (K)
3.58 xG 0.05
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 1
9 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
468 Passes 155
86% Pass Accuracy 63%
40 Box Touches 6
12 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AC Milan (K) vs Napoli (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Milan (K) swept aside Napoli (K) 6-0. Half-time: 5-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AC Milan (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, AC Milan (K) had 68% of the ball to Napoli (K)'s 32%, shots finished 16-1, expected goals 3.58 to 0.05.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AC Milan (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AC Milan (K) and 1.00 for Napoli (K).

What was the final score of AC Milan (K) vs Napoli (K)?

AC Milan (K) 6-0 Napoli (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Milan (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split AC Milan (K) 61%, draw 25%, Napoli (K) 15%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Milan (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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