Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle Jets v Macarthur — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Macarthur
AVUS
0-1
HT 0-1
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
2-0
HT 1-0
Newcastle Jets
AVUS
Newcastle Jets 1-3 Macarthur — Actual Match Statistics
Macarthur got the better of Newcastle Jets 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Macarthur as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Newcastle Jets had 59% of the ball to Macarthur's 41%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.43 to 2.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Newcastle Jets and 1.17 for Macarthur.
What was the final score of Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Newcastle Jets 1-3 Macarthur in the Australia - A-League on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Before kick-off our model rated an Macarthur win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets 33%, draw 23%, Macarthur 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macarthur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.