Montpellier 1-3 Angers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 12 Jan 2025

Montpellier
1-3 HT 0-1
Angers
📅12/01/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Montpellier vs Angers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
16%
4.59
X/2
12%
7.25
X/X
14%
4.55
2/1
11%
26.0
2/2
16%
5.4
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montpellier v Angers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Angers EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.61/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.26
+15% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
23.9 Crosses 16.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Montpellier vs Angers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Angers
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.69 xG 1.52
49% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
373 Passes 399
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.03.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 5-0 HT 3-0 Angers Angers FR1
11.09.2022 Angers Angers 2-1 HT 1-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
21.05.2022 Angers Angers 2-0 HT 1-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
22.12.2021 Montpellier Montpellier 4-1 HT 2-1 Angers Angers FR1
04.04.2021 Angers Angers 1-1 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
20.09.2020 Montpellier Montpellier 4-1 HT 2-1 Angers Angers FR1

Montpellier 1-3 Angers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier
1-3
AWAY Angers
1.19 xG 3.81
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
410 Passes 305
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 31
32 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montpellier vs Angers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angers beat Montpellier 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Montpellier at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Montpellier had 58% of the ball to Angers's 42%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 1.19 to 3.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Montpellier and 1.17 for Angers.

What was the final score of Montpellier vs Angers?

Montpellier 1-3 Angers in the France - Ligue 1 on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Angers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 42%, draw 25%, Angers 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Montpellier) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier) ✓ Over 2.5
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