Toulouse 1-2 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 12 Jan 2025

Toulouse
1-2 HT 1-2
RC Strasbourg
📅12/01/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.7
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
16%
4.46
X/2
12%
7.56
X/X
12%
4.72
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
11%
5.66
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Toulouse v RC Strasbourg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toulouse EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.42/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.44
-14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.6 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toulouse
1W-2D-3L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.01 xG 1.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
368 Passes 377
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Toulouse Toulouse 0-0 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
27.08.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-0 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
29.01.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-2 HT 1-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
23.10.2022 Toulouse Toulouse 2-2 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
05.02.2020 Toulouse Toulouse 0-1 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
07.12.2019 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 4-2 HT 2-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1

Toulouse 1-2 RC Strasbourg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toulouse
1-2
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.24 xG 2.31
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
373 Passes 357
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg edged past Toulouse 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Toulouse at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Toulouse had 53% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 47%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.24 to 2.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RC Strasbourg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Toulouse and 1.67 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg?

Toulouse 1-2 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 44%, draw 26%, RC Strasbourg 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Toulouse), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Toulouse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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