Groningen 0-0 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
20.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 32% vs market 30.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.63
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.35
X/1
13%
4.19
X/2
7%
7.95
X/X
12%
4.29
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
12%
6.45
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groningen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.28/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.42
-21% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +114%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
20.7 Crosses 16.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Groningen
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Almere City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.56 xG 1.10
73% Ball Possession 27%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
501 Passes 137
83% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Almere City Almere City 1-1 HT 1-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groningen
0-0
AWAY Almere City
1.29 xG 0.26
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 2
407 Passes 221
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
38 Box Touches 11
40 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Groningen vs Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groningen and Almere City played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Groningen at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Groningen had 62% of the ball to Almere City's 38%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.29 to 0.26.

What was the final score of Groningen vs Almere City?

Groningen 0-0 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groningen vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Groningen 48%, draw 28%, Almere City 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Groningen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Groningen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
12 Jan 2025
14:15 Twente vs Willem II Analysis →
16:30 Feyenoord vs Utrecht Analysis →
18:45 NAC Breda vs Heerenveen Analysis →