Twente 6-2 Willem II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 24% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.58
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
22.1
X/1
17%
3.45
X/2
5%
18.6
X/X
12%
7.03
2/1
12%
24.3
2/2
5%
15.35
2/X
6%
23.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-10.5pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.5pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Willem II EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
2.27/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.83
-5% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
424 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 70%
36.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
25.5 Crosses 12.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Willem II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.40 xG 1.24
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
422 Passes 295
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Willem II Willem II 0-1 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
22.01.2022 Willem II Willem II 0-1 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL
17.10.2021 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 1-1 Willem II Willem II HOL
06.03.2021 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
17.10.2020 Willem II Willem II 0-3 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL
19.10.2019 Twente Twente 0-1 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
6-2
AWAY Willem II
3.33 xG 0.95
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
598 Passes 312
91% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Twente vs Willem II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente cruised past Willem II 6-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Twente had 64% of the ball to Willem II's 36%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 3.33 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Twente and 0.50 for Willem II.

What was the final score of Twente vs Willem II?

Twente 6-2 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs Willem II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Twente 60%, draw 26%, Willem II 14%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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