Almere City vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almere City v Groningen — Team-Based Signals
Almere City 1-1 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics
Almere City and Groningen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Groningen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Almere City had 27% of the ball to Groningen's 73%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.10 to 0.56.
What was the final score of Almere City vs Groningen?
Almere City 1-1 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almere City vs Groningen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Almere City 24%, draw 30%, Groningen 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Groningen) went the other way.