Fortuna Sittard 0-3 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.54
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
29%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.01
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
12%
4.87
X/2
13%
6.58
X/X
11%
4.77
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.59
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+9.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.56/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.56
-5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +67%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
22.3 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard
1W-3D-2L
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.51 xG 1.82
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
256 Passes 411
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.04.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-1 HT 0-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
15.12.2023 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 4-1 HT 2-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
28.05.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 1-1 HT 0-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
19.10.2022 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-2 HT 1-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOK
10.09.2022 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
15.05.2022 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard
0-3
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
0.88 xG 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
369 Passes 383
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC Nijmegen ran out comfortable winners over Fortuna Sittard 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day NEC Nijmegen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 49% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 51%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.88 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 1.67 for NEC Nijmegen.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen?

Fortuna Sittard 0-3 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 38%, draw 23%, NEC Nijmegen 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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