Amed SK 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.76
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
19%
5.33
X/2
14%
5.49
X/X
14%
4.4
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
18%
3.93
2/X
5%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed SK EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.81/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.15
+17% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.2 Crosses 18.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amed SK
0W-0D-2L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 16
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
08.11.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 6-2 HT 4-0 Amed SK Amed SK TÜK
31.10.2007 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 3-1 HT 2-0 Amed SK Amed SK TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
1-0
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.40 xG 1.04
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
493 Passes 229
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amed SK vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed SK squeezed past MKE Ankaragücü 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Amed SK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Amed SK had 65% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 35%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.40 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Amed SK and 4.50 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Amed SK vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Amed SK 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed SK vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 39%, draw 25%, MKE Ankaragücü 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amed SK), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amed SK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
12 Jan 2025
13:30 Erzurumspor FK vs Şanlıurfaspor Analysis →
13:30 Keçiörengücü vs Kocaelispor Analysis →
16:00 Boluspor vs Adanaspor Analysis →
19:00 Gençlerbirliği vs Yeni Malatyaspor Analysis →