Erzurumspor FK 0-1 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
4.7
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 38% vs market 32.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.15
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.2
X/1
13%
3.61
X/2
13%
10.7
X/X
16%
4.42
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
12%
9.63
2/X
8%
18.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-14.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+10.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.7pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 21%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.42/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.53
+18% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
17.8 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.35 xG 0.51
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
178 Passes 432
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.02.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-0 HT 2-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
03.09.2023 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
0-1
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
0.79 xG 0.43
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
405 Passes 149
80% Pass Accuracy 58%
28 Box Touches 8
30 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şanlıurfaspor nicked a narrow win over Erzurumspor FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Erzurumspor FK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 66% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 34%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.79 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Erzurumspor FK had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 0.00 for Şanlıurfaspor.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Erzurumspor FK 0-1 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 42%, draw 29%, Şanlıurfaspor 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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