Boluspor 3-1 Adanaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
20.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 31% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.33
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.85
X/1
10%
3.85
X/2
12%
9.07
X/X
16%
4.63
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
9%
7.61
2/X
6%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.48/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.48
-27% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
21.3 Crosses 13.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Adanaspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.56 xG 0.63
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
332 Passes 323
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
11.08.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
30.10.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
01.05.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
11.12.2021 Boluspor Boluspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
04.04.2021 Boluspor Boluspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
3-1
AWAY Adanaspor
2.83 xG 0.59
64% Ball Possession 36%
25 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
417 Passes 203
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Adanaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor beat Adanaspor 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Boluspor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boluspor had 64% of the ball to Adanaspor's 36%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 2.83 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boluspor and 1.00 for Adanaspor.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Adanaspor?

Boluspor 3-1 Adanaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Adanaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boluspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 45%, draw 29%, Adanaspor 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boluspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boluspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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