Keçiörengücü 0-1 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 12 Jan 2025

Keçiörengücü
0-1 HT 0-1
Kocaelispor
📅12/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Keçiörengücü vs Kocaelispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
3.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.51
6+ Goals
11%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 24% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.97
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
14%
6.96
X/2
11%
4.8
X/X
12%
4.7
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.93
2/X
10%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Keçiörengücü v Kocaelispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -9%
1.14/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.31
+18% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
16.8 Crosses 20.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Keçiörengücü vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.80 xG 1.56
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
249 Passes 291
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-2 HT 1-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
01.10.2023 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 3-0 HT 2-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
04.03.2022 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
17.10.2021 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-1 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
25.11.2020 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-2 HT 0-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TÜK
09.03.2014 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-2 HT 0-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü S3-3

Keçiörengücü 0-1 Kocaelispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
0-1
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.65 xG 0.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 7
364 Passes 290
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor squeezed past Keçiörengücü 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Kocaelispor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 56% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 44%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.65 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Keçiörengücü and 1.67 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Kocaelispor?

Keçiörengücü 0-1 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 32%, draw 31%, Kocaelispor 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kocaelispor), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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