Trabzonspor 5-0 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.11
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
14%
6.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.82
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.5
X/1
23%
3.95
X/2
10%
12.65
X/X
8%
6.97
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.15
2/2
8%
8.85
2/X
6%
16.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.15 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.4pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.0pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.96/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.89
+4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
464 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
21.2 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.44
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
318 Passes 405
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
11.08.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
01.02.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
20.08.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 5-2 HT 2-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
30.04.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-2 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
01.03.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
5-0
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.92 xG 0.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
331 Passes 324
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor cruised past Antalyaspor 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 49% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 51%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.92 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.33 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Antalyaspor?

Trabzonspor 5-0 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 55%, draw 21%, Antalyaspor 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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