Sivasspor 1-1 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 Jan 2025

Sivasspor
1-1 HT 1-0
Alanyaspor
📅12/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Sivasspor vs Alanyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 32% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.28
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
14%
5.87
X/2
10%
5.16
X/X
17%
4.22
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.57
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sivasspor v Alanyaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -17%
1.37/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.04
-20% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.0 Crosses 21.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Sivasspor vs Alanyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.18 xG 1.10
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
264 Passes 419
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-2 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
28.10.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-2 HT 0-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
31.01.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
22.08.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
11.05.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TÜK
25.04.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL

Sivasspor 1-1 Alanyaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
1-1
AWAY Alanyaspor
0.85 xG 0.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
326 Passes 395
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor and Alanyaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Sivasspor had 46% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 54%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.85 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sivasspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sivasspor and 0.83 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Alanyaspor?

Sivasspor 1-1 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 35%, draw 31%, Alanyaspor 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sivasspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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