Gaziantep FK 1-0 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.6pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.83/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.67
-30% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
22.4 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.38 xG 2.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
302 Passes 365
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-6 HT 1-3 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
19.12.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-2 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
07.10.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
20.02.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-3 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
25.09.2021 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
02.02.2019 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 3-2 HT 2-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
1-0
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.58 xG 0.82
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 11
437 Passes 372
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 15
6 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK nicked a narrow win over Adana Demirspor 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gaziantep FK as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 51% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 49%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.58 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gaziantep FK and 2.33 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Adana Demirspor?

Gaziantep FK 1-0 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 51%, draw 24%, Adana Demirspor 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaziantep FK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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