Başakşehir FK 1-2 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
27%
2.59
6+ Goals
13%
6.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.73
1/2
5%
19.35
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
15.8
X/1
8%
10.1
X/2
17%
4.16
X/X
8%
6.97
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.04
2/X
6%
15.6
Value flag · 1/X at 15.8 — our 10% vs market 3.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.5pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-8.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +22%
0.77/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.15
-28% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +7%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 84%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
12.7 Crosses 20.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Galatasaray
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.38 xG 2.06
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
315 Passes 358
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.01.2025 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-2 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TÜK
10.02.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-0 HT 2-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
23.09.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
08.05.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
05.04.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-3 HT 1-2 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TÜK
12.11.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-7 HT 0-3 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
1-2
AWAY Galatasaray
0.89 xG 0.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
261 Passes 244
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray squeezed past Başakşehir FK 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 52% of the ball to Galatasaray's 48%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.89 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Başakşehir FK and 2.67 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Galatasaray?

Başakşehir FK 1-2 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 27%, draw 25%, Galatasaray 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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