Sheffield United 3-1 Middlesbrough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.57
6+ Goals
12%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.14
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
33.0
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
13%
5.06
X/2
9%
6.57
X/X
10%
4.48
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
17%
4.71
2/X
9%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 33.0 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.74/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.13
+19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
19.4 Crosses 17.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Middlesbrough
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.49 xG 1.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 Passes 306
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2024 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
15.02.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-3 HT 1-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
14.08.2022 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2-2 HT 1-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
08.03.2022 Sheffield United Sheffield United 4-1 HT 2-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
28.09.2021 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2-0 HT 2-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
13.02.2019 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield United
3-1
AWAY Middlesbrough
2.63 xG 1.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
320 Passes 294
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sheffield United vs Middlesbrough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield United saw off Middlesbrough 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Sheffield United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sheffield United had 52% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 48%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.63 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sheffield United and 1.50 for Middlesbrough.

What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Middlesbrough?

Sheffield United 3-1 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Middlesbrough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 40%, draw 27%, Middlesbrough 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sheffield United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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