Plymouth Argyle vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Plymouth Argyle v Millwall — Team-Based Signals
Plymouth Argyle vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Millwall
İNCL
3-2
HT 0-1
Plymouth Argyle
İNLK
3-5
HT 1-2
Millwall
İNTK
0-1
HT 0-1
Millwall
İNLK
Plymouth Argyle 5-1 Millwall — Actual Match Statistics
Plymouth Argyle swept aside Millwall 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Millwall at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 36% of the ball to Millwall's 64%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.43 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millwall led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 2.17 for Millwall.
What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Millwall?
Plymouth Argyle 5-1 Millwall in the England - Championship on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Millwall?
Before kick-off our model rated an Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 28%, draw 28%, Millwall 45%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.