Swansea City 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 12 Feb 2025

📅12/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.84
6+ Goals
11%
17.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.92
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
18%
5.63
X/2
12%
5.52
X/X
12%
4.32
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
30.5
2/2
16%
3.8
2/X
5%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.25/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.49
-22% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
19.4 Crosses 18.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.34 xG 0.91
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
426 Passes 260
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-0 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
29.03.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
23.09.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 3-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
13.04.2021 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-2 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
25.11.2020 Swansea City Swansea City 1-1 HT 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
05.07.2020 Swansea City Swansea City 2-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
0-1
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
0.18 xG 0.82
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
406 Passes 319
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Sheffield Wednesday
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday edged past Swansea City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Swansea City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Swansea City had 55% of the ball to Sheffield Wednesday's 45%, shots finished 4-10, expected goals 0.18 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Swansea City and 0.50 for Sheffield Wednesday.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Swansea City 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday in the England - Championship on 12/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 41%, draw 25%, Sheffield Wednesday 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Swansea City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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