Middlesbrough 1-0 Sheffield United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 30% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.59
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
14%
4.3
X/2
7%
7.58
X/X
16%
4.84
2/1
10%
24.45
2/2
12%
5.7
2/X
8%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.59/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.60
-19% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
21.2 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middlesbrough
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sheffield United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.61
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
261 Passes 311
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.02.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-3 HT 1-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
14.08.2022 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2-2 HT 1-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
08.03.2022 Sheffield United Sheffield United 4-1 HT 2-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
28.09.2021 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2-0 HT 2-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
13.02.2019 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
07.08.2018 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 3-0 HT 3-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough
1-0
AWAY Sheffield United
1.42 xG 0.41
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
516 Passes 437
88% Pass Accuracy 89%
42 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough vs Sheffield United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough squeezed past Sheffield United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Middlesbrough as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Middlesbrough had 54% of the ball to Sheffield United's 46%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.42 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.33 for Sheffield United.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Sheffield United?

Middlesbrough 1-0 Sheffield United in the England - Championship on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Sheffield United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 41%, draw 30%, Sheffield United 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Middlesbrough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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